Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Nat gas

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Nat gas

    Now me, me an my "Gas" trust me I can make er ripe just as good as Natty HAS been doing, Yet another new high,,, higher high,,, higher low today just so I don't leave any hints this is BULLISH.
    I've been watching/figuring, watching and patiently waiting on this baby since before Christmas. There is and has been some good "Goodies" going on.
    Found out some "Goodies" yesterday from a private source, you mite be able to find it tho its sure not publicc info. #NattyParty as with #THEspringwheatparty its best to early and not late.
    If I'm ccorrect,,, and I do say IF I'm correct Natty will probably be THE story of 2018

    "Futures trading involves substantial risks and this not trading advise"
    That's a very small standard dis-closer Nat gas is not for the faith of heart.
    Wanna trade it, put up 20k up front for ONE contract.

  • #2
    OK guy and gals no one seems to like my hints or figure it out for your selfs so I'm gonna spell it out very clear.

    # 1 CHINA is building a bunch of new ethanol plants
    # 2 CHINA wants to be green aka no more new building coal fired generation plants is the word.
    # 3 What do you fuel the corn ethanol plants when you dont want to build any more coal generation.
    # 4 CHINA is buying Nat Gas, I mite have heard something some where.
    # 5 Oohs, I was WRONG again, here I thought it was Santa hedging fuel for his sleigh.
    # 6 ITS A VIAGRA RALLY aka everything is rising. Fund buying has been a WOW, IMO the fund boy already net long as of today's close 20k + or - net long.
    # 7 I guess that is lucky #7 long ENGH18 @ 2.75 today closed 3.175 right near today's high.

    My risk/reward was defined prior to the spec long. First go around raised my stop a tad quick and a tick too close and was stopped out at a $205 profit.
    This move has been setting up for months. I'm not saying anymore about other then Natty's been in the toilet for a long time.
    Rocket ship is on the pad fueled with steam pouring out waiting for ignition 10-9-8-7
    Last edited by Tas; 01-26-2018, 09:01 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Tas I sent you pictures of a new natural gas load out facility just on south side of Sulfur, Louisiana. Capable of loading three huge ocean going tanker ships at a time. Remember the picture with literally 60 cranes in the air on the same jobsite.

      Was obvious to me at the time the price of natural gas would increase with its completion.

      Three pipelines feed that thing. I'd post last winter's pictures if this site wasn't so annal retentive difficult to do so.

      Comment


      • #4
        your late to the party TAS called it back in ----01-19-2018 07:32 PM ------ post number 101 in marketing - -------------they are ramping up for another BOOM new riggs are being built as Ispeek---------------------------------------------dave
        Last edited by davidm479; 01-26-2018, 10:53 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          "NAT GAS,,,,,,,,,, very high confidence level Santa is doing some last minute flash hedging his needs,,, it was up 2.66% yesterday."
          "We got a Ho HO HO Santa Claus gap higher in Nat Gas, guess Santa is really power the sleigh with Natty"

          David I posted these on the 23th and 26th I bought it the 20th @ 2.62 the first go around.
          Since the 21th when it made THE low its made a series of higher lows higher highs and higher closing highs too numerous to count this is BULLISH.
          Just like last summers lower highs lower lows and lower closing is was BEARISH in corn/bean/wheat.
          Remember last summer all these lower lower lows and THE most corn guys were still bullish.
          This is NOT belittling anyone, its NOT running anyone done its called THE facts before you rime my donkey go back to last summer and read NAT
          NOT being a smart azz NOT belittling anyone Carl/CC this is learning to look at a charts RESPECTIVELY in helping farmers do a better job of marketing.
          This is how farmers make more money managing their price risks in this supply driven market.
          Econ 101 = more income or less expense = Stop wasting money buying those dam calls to re-own corn in very clear supply driven big carry's market.
          *M* Any broker even with 20-30-40 year of experience knows this full well. IF they still try to talking you into sell cash/buy calls since last summer their just lining their pockets.
          Right now is a very tough environment to make more money for corn farmers Carl. If some have the banker/s breathing down their neck its dam right depressing.
          Econ 101 LESS expenses, notice not one person posted corn and beans options loss's for their 1099's
          There are times buying calls is a cats meow, I did it my self 1 day prior to #CC2016 . Marketing like making babies is all in the timing off !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

          I've given several warnings about DO NOT SPECULATE.
          Natty is about the most ultra high risk speculating game there is. A move from 2 to 3 bucks is 10k on 1 contract.
          So I am speculating ? Or am I hedging my fertilizers needs ??????????????????????????????????????
          In AW's hay days I do have OBG's Ghosts #'s written down as to how much Nat Gas makes X tons of Urea.
          See where I'm going with this,,,,, China gets a hair up to buy Nat Gas we know what China can do in whatever commodity going ape chit.
          China buys a bunch of Nat Gas over a few years and what's this going to do with our fertilizer prices ? ? ? ? ?
          Now I can't remember OGB's #'s and can't find the dam papers at the time tho thinking I have 2019 fertilizer hedged. (most of 2018's is on already)

          Now for some FUN. David, Daivdddddddddd do you reallyyyyyy think i'm gonna let a Dixeland boy get the upper hand on a NORWEGIAN
          Its the Lutefisk guys, the Norwegian Viking's proofed this centuries ago as it was packed in the the old Viking ships for a month or 2 in the Vikings pillaging days
          As the Viking's conquered pretty much any county they wanted over there,,,,, they were some really bad azz SOB's
          Can you Imagine eating Lutefisk made with lye for a MONTH OR TWO ???? How else do you pack fish in a ship for 2 months and not kill everyone ! ! ! ! I
          Now even I would be a really bad azz SOB's if I eat it everyday for 2 months.

          *************************I did grave mistake to start out 2018***********************
          I plum forgot to have that semi load of Lutefisk delivered to DOWNTOWN MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA
          Dear Lord, please help us if I need to explain that one

          Comment


          • #6
            if your trading cattle your a spec,as I've never heard of you owning any

            Comment


            • #7
              may be this why you NORHNERS are called Sour *****s some times--------------------------dave
              Last edited by davidm479; 01-27-2018, 08:55 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                You dam right I'm spec trading cattle Steffy. The last breed cows left this farm preg checked I believe it was the summer 1989ish on a Friday. We had a small neighbor party !!!!!
                Some heifers some cows some old cows for $1200 across the board. I was very firm on my price as when the local AgWeek came home I had over 30 phone calls in 1 day..
                I sold high prices cows when every Tom/Dick/Harry wanted them and bought dirt pigs. The guy that bought then, if sold feeders did good, if he saved for fats he had a blood bath.
                Hated them dam things, didn't help watching one of Dad's old ornery cow with BIG HORN toss him half ways across the barn up against the wall.
                If I had stayed home from high school that morning that pissy bixch would have round Dad against the wall.
                She was ornery to start with let only this time with a new born calf. Dad was about ready to grab the 30-06 tho she did make lots of tasty hamburger that winter.
                With gave hamburger to darn near anyone that walked in the door with a BIG SMILE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                Well you do have #3 advantages,
                1- Weather
                2- Catfish at every C-store or gas station.
                3- Ladies with that sweet southern drawl.
                4- Warn pig hunting
                5 -Warm duck an goose hunting
                6- Did I mention the weather
                7- I'm only 54 but this cold weather this winter did a number on my back. Very few know why I spend so much time on the markets. So much time in the office and can't do 8 hours in the shop anymore. There are some local guys that think I just sit in the house all winter watching TV. One of them "the pool table stud" *Ohio* that just can't keep his unit is his pants. UN-Godly funny story and he ended up against the same dam divorce lawyers P chick that I did. She taught him a lesson in keeping his bull in the old home pen. Him an his hot shot buddy,,,,,,,,,,,, well at least he did not have to have Daddy & Mommy bail him out so he could farm again. My Great Grampa/Grampa/Dad an my self ALWAYS keep our bulls in the home pen. So see are some locals that wanna be a smart donkey with me, I'll be a smart donkey right back. Old saying "dont dish it out unless you can take it" !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                Comment


                • #9
                  7- I'm only 54 but this cold weather this winter did a number on my back. Very few know why I spend so much time on the markets. So much time in the office and can't do 8 hours in the shop anymore. There are some local guys that think I just sit in the house all winter watching TV. One of them "the pool table stud" *Ohio* that just can't keep his unit is his pants. UN-Godly funny story and he ended up against the same dam divorce lawyers P chick that I did. She taught him a lesson in keeping his bull in the old home pen. Him an his hot shot buddy,,,,,,,,,,,, well at least he did not have to have Daddy & Mommy bail him out so he could farm again. My Great Grampa/Grampa/Dad an my self ALWAYS keep our bulls in the home pen. So see are some locals that wanna be a smart donkey with me, I'll be a smart donkey right back. Old saying "dont dish it out unless you can take it" !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![/QUOTE]



                  Whole lot of info NOT market related

                  Whole lot of info I did not want or need.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Oh come now 55 can't I have some fun now and then !!!!!!!!!! It was a really funny story and the word in town its was on a cell video too LMAO
                    I was going thru a divorce, it sure gave Senior Citizens Center in Buxton something better to talk about me
                    I could always try to get you to sell some corn next, would that work better Ha Ha

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Been trying to sell the stuff, one load a day last two days, they keep breaking down and closing for the day.

                      Only wound up open 3 hrs yesterday. Gonna be into planting season at this rate.

                      Don't. Need help selling it but maybe you could help them keep their junk running?
                      Saw Ray J' s old haunts broke down too, closed them down for three of four days.

                      Not surprising after all the millions of bushels that go through the system every year.

                      Good thing I'm not trying to pay some past due Bill. $3000ish semi load doesn't add up very fast.

                      If I continue my current plan and go all corn you could help me put up another bin this summer.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        No I do no type fast, had this ready since the date below. Natty was doing AWESOME til the 29th stairs step up elevator shaft down.
                        This was a prefect bull market that changed on a dime

                        R W
                        Sun 1/28/2018, 12:02 PM

                        Just some Natty info via M2M and Sue M
                        Natty up 8% on the week (My figures 25% higher off the Santa's lows)
                        China wants cleaner air.
                        They have a new rule by the year 2020 they want an E-10 blended gas.

                        Just think about this,
                        Clean air = clean burning Nat Gas
                        Clean air = clean burning ethanol
                        "CHART: horizontal rigs in the Permian +12 to new record of 385" more rig more power plants kinda make since doesn't it ?
                        At its peak there were 1600 rigs drilling for nat gas in 2008 and crashed to under 100 mid 2016 and you thinking raising corn is bad.
                        Nat gas stocks draw down early January was the largest in history.
                        Stocks now under the 5 year average levels to date after being over to well over, for a number of years, to oh chit the tanks are full where do we put.
                        So where do we put it ? ? ? Work 55's export ship loader comments into this. Have deals been made with China or other importers of Nat gas ?
                        4580 mw proposed new Nat gas fired electric power plant out east.
                        950 mw under construction as I type
                        Low prices cure low prices ? YEP Natty just took a long long time.
                        All data above sourced from EIA that site still a cluster mess to me.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          found this of some interest>>>>>>http://www.digitaljournal.com/business/lng-shortages-possible-by-mid-2020s-without-new-investments/article/515913

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Interesting comment on Natty - Nat Gas,
                            "Canada>> Natural gas shortage in B.C. could last all winter; households urged to conserve"

                            Shortages ? 2 years ago nat gas storage was so near full to the point they did not know what to do with it. Plump full to shortage 2 years ago to talk of shortages today is living proof of "Low Prices Cure Low Prices" 55 made some comments in this threat about a big new export terminal being built. So if the tanks/bins are full its kinda like corn you gotta EXPORT IT.

                            Nat Gas continues this ballistic move higher well squeeze ethanol margins even father into the red in turn squeeze corn basis levels once export shipment slow.

                            Comment

                            Working...
                            X