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  • Originally posted by steffy View Post
    I haven't received any rain yet SD,just a forcast of it.just a sprinkle this morning radar has everything south of us again,would'nt be surprised if we get missed again
    Sorry to hear that, I obviously misread your post. Good Luck!

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    • Originally posted by Freedom farmer View Post
      I'm with 82 on sticking with what I know how to do. I guess I'm a conservative, you know. I sprayed for aphids a week ago also. The potential is there for some fine bean yields. Got a nice rain last night. It had just been getting a bit too dry.
      FF: You are a conservative??? Thanx for the laugh. I have said forever that laissez faire capitalists are the true liberals, and socialists are the true conservatives. Over a 100 years ago Einstein defined insanity as doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. Sometimes you need to think outside the box...like when the price of C and SB are below the Cost of Production. Walking corn out was just one of the options I discussed. Cash renting your ground out was the easiest.

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      • 48, cash renting out my ground is an option that is too hard on my brain. My renter would certainly do something that I would find to be troubling. Now it's also true that I always seem to do something that troubles me, but I can forgive myself rather more easily than some other dang farmer. This year I was going to add a touch of atrazine to my corn herbicide combo, but I wrongly thought this raved about pre-package would do the trick. Well, now I have a lot of small waterhemp in the corn. Not a problem this year, but I'll have to fight it next year in the beans. Golly, cash renting next year might not seem so terrible...

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        • FAS vs NASS acres?

          Corn: Corn futures traded both sides of unchanged today. Despite FAS numbers indicating a modest decline in 2015 U.S. corn seedings, a lack of fresh export demand combined with a favorable forecast pushed the market slightly lower. There were a lot of numbers released today that the trade will need to digest to figure out what they will mean to the U.S. balance sheet. FAS released their data early this morning. Per FAS, as of August 31st, 83.147 mln. acres of corn were planted (including failed acres) compared to the 88.9 mln. acres of corn indicated by NASS. The FAS numbers also suggested the prevent plant corn acres total 2.3 mln. acres. It is important however to keep in mind that NASS will not incorporate the FSA data into their planting estimates until October.

          Soybeans: Soybean futures also traded both sides of unchanged today, ending the session slightly higher. As with corn, there were a lot of numbers released today for the market to digest. FAS released their acreage data this morning. As of August 31st, they reported 79.478 mln acres of soybeans were planted compared to the 84.3 mln. acres indicated by NASS. The numbers suggested 2.173 mln. acres of prevent plant beans, which was slightly larger than expected. MO came in at 1.020 mln. acres of prevent plant soybean acres while IL had 230,855 and IN had 91,527 acres.
          “Democracy is the worst form of government, -------------------------------except for all the others.”

          ― Winston S. Churchill

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          • Obviously all acres aren't reported to FSA. But the only acres that got prevent plant had insurance and those should all have been reported. Someone who doesn't have insurance or didn't report was going to plant those acres whenever to get any sort of crop. The whole system is so dumb. They can do stand counts and stuff in June or July report if they wanted to. Not hard. Why wait longer hair to figure out people have been planting higher populations. No crap... Maybe next year every farmer should plant 10,000 less plants per acre and screw up everything they have for methodology. I called nass today and asked all sorts of questions again today. Vegetation maps don't mean much. I asked about satellite for acres and they said yeah. Yeah. Also they said FSA numbers are not all in yet. I was like bs. They enter them all right into computer and have print out to sign. I said maybe you guys need to update computers if you can't have all the acres figured out before now or even next month. USDA is the definition of kicking the can down the road. Except on the usage side... Most pessimistic side ever. So optimistic on yeilds side and be damned on usage side. Atleast be consistent. I guess they are... Consistently wrong. Lol

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            • Just looking through the Indiana tour photos of ears....W T F????????????????????????????????? Some of that sh1t isn't even in roasting ear stage...just blisters....and that one sample they're calling 120 bu/acre.....lmao......you've got to be kidding me.....somethings not adding up in these USDA numbers.....Jack Frost is going to be knocking on someones door....now I don't feel bad about my Aug planted soybeans....they stand a better chance of average yield than some of that corn.
              Last edited by db51; 08-17-2015, 08:38 PM.

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              • Well schit db, you just described the world here perfectly. There will be 200 bu. yield differences from one side of the road to the other. It's a wild ride this year.

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                • Wanna buy a case of Lubricant.....this is gonna leave a mark...just saying

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                  • Sitting here trying to come up with a smart azz remark and I have failed. SuperLube may not be enough on this one, but we can test it on ole Hank, cause he don't go for that sort of thing either.

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                    • .Well boys after looking at those three prize nubbins and they say it will be 120 bpa I can safely predict that my bigger nubbins should make 300 bpa. NOT! Corn that is not waist high and this is going to come out well? They need to be very careful this year as when they are taking samples they may take a whole acre's production! Really can not hide in a farmer's field because every one can see you in it for a mile. Last year folks were fooled because the poor areas of the I states did fairly well, this year it may just be backwards as the good ares may fail large and the poorer ground may fair worse. End users may find themselves in the middle of a big ole bear trap, they have been told that crop is there and it is huge so why buy now? Karma is rough but would be interesting to see them sweat to cover needs just like they had to in 2012. Oh I forgot we are not using ethonal, livestock not eating, no foreign market sales, South America is shipping U.S. corn like mad better not plant any corn or beans next year as with this large carry over they are not going to need it, man that medical marijuana must be good stuff for those that are smoking it.

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                      • Sillinois I can't agree more. Those nubbins look more like 50 bu/aa or less.

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                        • Bins....there is a possibility that those ears came from a field with a 50K population count I would imagine to get that kind of yield. Obvious determinant ear hybrid.....you know, the ones seed companies love to sell and farmers are stupid enough to buy. Pencil that seed input number. lmao.

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                          • Some farms are not in the farm program and therefore don't report acres.

                            Some farms are not covered by crop insurance and therefore don't report acres.

                            NASS does some very limited "strategic sampling" and projects the total numbers from there.

                            The best potential for getting actual planted acres come from the FSA and crop insurance numbers. NASS doesn't do nearly as many farms.

                            It seems to me that NASS acres ought to be projected from either crop insurance or FSA number with actual surveying of farmers for acres planted coming from those areas where crop insurance and farm program participation is low. The actual contact with farmers or farms ought to be for checking yield potential.
                            “Democracy is the worst form of government, -------------------------------except for all the others.”

                            ― Winston S. Churchill

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                            • Hummmmmmmmmmmmmmmm, anyone starting to wonder about the feedlots lights getting
                              turned off.....48 comment....

                              only this time because there isn't something there to put in the bunks?

                              I have seen some tremendious looking corn to our n and ne, but it won't be
                              enough to overcome what the I states including minnny s Wis Mich and DaKotoes are
                              whining about, unless "someone" isn't telling the truth...

                              any numbers from the harvest in Texas Lucyanna and Arkansas? (those blow hard from Miss and Geo can't be believed either)

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                              • the corn is down here boys I have told you this all along sure we had flooding early all the high ground was planted to corn and its good combines are rolling in this area over 200 bu reported Arkansas projected to do 195 a record rain does make grain----------------------------------dave---------------ckick plants are paying 53 over too

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